Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.006739 0.007532 0.008396 0.009411 0.010574 0.011868 0.013423
2025-04-13 0.005329 0.006372 0.007603 0.009174 0.011143 0.013546 0.016734
2025-04-20 0.004621 0.005774 0.007208 0.009145 0.011724 0.015087 0.019879
2025-04-27 0.004245 0.005499 0.007129 0.009437 0.012677 0.017148 0.023938
2025-05-04 0.003850 0.005136 0.006868 0.009419 0.013162 0.018584 0.027287
2025-05-11 0.003557 0.004870 0.006696 0.009482 0.013738 0.020186 0.031087
2025-05-18 0.003266 0.004573 0.006442 0.009381 0.014034 0.021372 0.034374
2025-05-25 0.003073 0.004396 0.006337 0.009484 0.014640 0.023100 0.038813
2025-06-01 0.002863 0.004172 0.006138 0.009411 0.014941 0.024345 0.042580
2025-06-08 0.002621 0.003880 0.005807 0.009086 0.014778 0.024759 0.044853
2025-06-15 0.002482 0.003735 0.005693 0.009106 0.015201 0.026252 0.049438
2025-06-22 0.002420 0.003707 0.005762 0.009438 0.016208 0.028940 0.056906
2025-06-29 0.002231 0.003465 0.005471 0.009135 0.016052 0.029458 0.060039
2025-07-06 0.002068 0.003257 0.005223 0.008886 0.015980 0.030147 0.063741
2025-07-13 0.001960 0.003131 0.005103 0.008859 0.016327 0.031735 0.069834
2025-07-20 0.001911 0.003101 0.005148 0.009141 0.017323 0.034837 0.080300
2025-07-27 0.001820 0.002993 0.005042 0.009123 0.017697 0.036629 0.087847
2025-08-03 0.001748 0.002912 0.004981 0.009184 0.018243 0.038891 0.097199
2025-08-10 0.001660 0.002798 0.004848 0.009087 0.018428 0.040327 0.104576
2025-08-17 0.001605 0.002738 0.004812 0.009186 0.019063 0.042959 0.116164
2025-08-24 0.001533 0.002642 0.004701 0.009115 0.019299 0.044621 0.125221
2025-08-31 0.001437 0.002498 0.004486 0.008803 0.018931 0.044656 0.129046
2025-09-07 0.001386 0.002434 0.004425 0.008822 0.019363 0.046902 0.140936